Still favourites but less convincingly – have your say on the title race

By Source / Published on Thursday, 19 Feb 2026 12:51 PM / No Comments / 13 views

So, a draw at rock-bottom Wolves and suddenly the same questions over Arsenal’s mentality and “bottle” are being asked again.

The Gunners have won just two of their past seven Premier League games and have seen their lead reduced to five points, with Manchester City having a game in hand and the prospect of a meeting between the two sides at Etihad Stadium in April after they face each other in March’s Carabao Cup final.

While there is still a lead, Arsenal’s tally of 58 points is the fewest any Premier League leaders have had after 27 games since Leicester City in 2015–16 (56).

But is it time for fans to worry?

Despite recent inconsistency, Mikel Arteta’s side remain heavy favourites with Opta’s Supercomputer.

1. Arsenal — 1st: 79.69% | 2nd: 17.46% | 3rd: 2.59%

2. Manchester City — 1st: 17.26% | 2nd: 55.87% | 3rd: 21.82%

3. Aston Villa — 1st: 2.92% | 2nd: 23.39% | 3rd: 50.46%

4. Manchester United — 1st: 0.04% | 2nd: 0.87% | 3rd: 7.12%

5. Chelsea — 1st: 0.06% | 2nd: 1.28% | 3rd: 8.25%

6. Liverpool — 1st: 0.03% | 2nd: 1.04% | 3rd: 8.67% — Opta still make Arsenal heavy favourites to win the Premier League [BBC]

However, only 12 days ago, Arsenal’s chance of winning the league was at 93.38% after they beat Sunderland 3-0 and moved a commanding nine points clear of City before their game against Liverpool the next day.

After back-to-back wins for City and consecutive draws for Arsenal, the likelihood that the Gunners do get over the line has dropped to 79.69% – still comfortably dwarfing City’s 17.26%.

So, with 11 games to play, and a familiar foe breathing down your neck, we want to know how you feel with the current state of play.

Confident? Nervous? And how does your team make sure they get over the line?

Get in touch with your views here